🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
As of 06:22 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 203 markets in “🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]” on Manifold are “call someone retarded through text or speech” at 100%, “Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela” at 100% and “complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer” at 100%. The event has M$113 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Limitless and Kalshi.
Each option resolves yes when he makes statements or actions that act as evidence They can be based off statements (Trump calls for...) or for actions he actually follows through on In the case where he cant directly do it, getting his Congress or proxy to do so will be enough Will make a poll for individual options if unsure Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Only statements made while Trump is serving as President will count toward resolving statement-based answers; older or non-presidency quotes do not. Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory option, drone strikes count. Any aggressive long-range attack that destroys or injures something inside Mexico counts (e.g., airstrikes, bombs, missile or drone strikes). Update 2025-08-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the "coin or bill with his image" option: only circulating currency counts (coins/bills intended for general circulation by the government). Commemorative/non-circulating issues do not count; laws authorizing only commemoratives also do not count. Update 2025-08-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the option 'request and successfully redraw 1/2 or more state districts': "1/2 or more" refers to the number of states, not the number of individual districts. Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the "order the arrest of a governor by name" option: statements like a governor "should be" arrested do not count. It must be a clear, explicit order/command to arrest a named governor.
