Question 1

What is the current probability for "How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Manifold odds for "How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?": Authoritarian regime 60%, Hybrid regime 31%, Flawed democracy 8% (top 3 of 4 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/30/2028.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/u0Sus0s0OL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?

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