Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 16:22 UTC on 28 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?” at 48%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

48%

vol cum

M20.5k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 2, 2030

As a source of general information, not just "Manifold Markets has a market with over 2000 traders [citation: link to manifold]". Must be clearly accepted as a general Wikipedia policy or norm, not just one rogue editor adding one in and nobody caring enough to contest it. There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description.