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Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology
68%
vol cum
M6.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 68¢
NO 32¢

If the human can review the edit and choose to stop it before it's published, then it doesn't count. English Wikipedia, mainspace. Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the market to resolve YES, it must be known that the edit was made by an AI.

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opened · Apr 6, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
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