Will Greenland be controlled by the USA on 31 December 2029?

Manifold·Politics

United StatesDenmark

As of 10:10 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Greenland be controlled by the USA on 31 December 2029?” at 11%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

Will the USA have de facto control of Greenland on 31 December 2029? This means that the USA considers Greenland to be its sovereign territory and actually controls it, with US control of Greenland government institutions, and no non-US soldiers or military forces on Greenland without the USA's approval.