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Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Polymarket·Politics
United StatesDenmark
3%
0.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.4M
vol 24h
$53
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes
No 97¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

DavosPoliticsGeopoliticsTrumpGreenlandDenmark
timeline
opened · Jan 5, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · prices over time
−24h
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volume · 24h windows
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