Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
As of 01:17 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?” at 2%. The market has $44 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?” on Kalshi, priced at 1%. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Gemini.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
