Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?
As of 05:17 UTC on 2 Sep 2026, Manifold prices “Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?” at 19%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Limitless, Kalshi and Gemini.
Resolves YES if Greenland becomes officially independent from Denmark before 2030. Resolves on independence actually coming into effect, not just on announcements or votes. "Official" means "according to both Greenland and Danish governments". If Greenland declares independence unilaterally, it will only count if and after Denmark acknowledges and makes it official from their end too. Greenland becoming a part of another country other than Denmark will also count.
