Status of Greenland in 2035?
As of 20:12 UTC on 12 Sep 2026, “Territory of Denmark” leads “Status of Greenland in 2035?” on Manifold at 68%, followed by “United States territory” at 12% and “Independent country” at 12%, out of 4 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Manifold, Opinion, Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.
Resolves to the political status of Greenland on 1 January 2035 If Denmark remains within the Danish Realm, including the status quo, then the resolution will be "Territory of Denmark" If Greenland becomes a US state, then the resolution will be "United States territory." Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on de jure (legal) status, not de facto (actual) status. Update 2026-01-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Greenland is divided between Denmark and the US, the market will resolve to Other.
