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event4 outcomes

Status of Greenland in 2035?

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 2, 2035
vol cum
M16.2k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 2, 2035
outcomesclick to inspect →

Resolves to the political status of Greenland on 1 January 2035 If Denmark remains within the Danish Realm, including the status quo, then the resolution will be "Territory of Denmark" If Greenland becomes a US state, then the resolution will be "United States territory." Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on de jure (legal) status, not de facto (actual) status. Update 2026-01-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Greenland is divided between Denmark and the US, the market will resolve to Other.

donald-trumppolitics-defaultus-politicsworld-defaultgeopolitics
marketselected outcome
Territory of Denmark
rank #1
DenmarkGreenland
70¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M1.1k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2035
timeline
opened · Jan 5, 2025opencloses · Jan 2, 2035
Territory of Denmark · prices over time
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