opentrade on 
↗
event4 outcomes
Status of Greenland in 2035?
vol cum
M15.6k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 2, 2035
outcomesclick to inspect →
Resolves to the political status of Greenland on 1 January 2035 If Denmark remains within the Danish Realm, including the status quo, then the resolution will be "Territory of Denmark" If Greenland becomes a US state, then the resolution will be "United States territory." Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on de jure (legal) status, not de facto (actual) status. Update 2026-01-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Greenland is divided between Denmark and the US, the market will resolve to Other.
donald-trumppolitics-defaultus-politicsworld-defaultgeopolitics
marketselected outcome
Territory of Denmark
rank #1
DenmarkGreenland
62¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M919
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2035
timeline
opened · Jan 5, 2025opencloses · Jan 2, 2035
prices over time · Territory of Denmark highlighted
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataWill Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?
yes18¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
opinionWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
yes12¢· 0.0pp
$297 24h · 1 market
polymarketWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
yes5¢· 0.0pp
$9 24h · 1 market
kalshiWill the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before 202712¢▲ 0.2ppBefore January 21, 202934¢▼ 1.0ppBefore April 20261¢
$2.5k 24h · 3 markets
geminiWill the US buy at least part of Greenland?
Before 202712¢▲ 1.0ppBefore July 1, 2026—Before January 20, 2029—
+1 others
4 markets
US buys Greenland in 2026?
yes4¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market