p|datav0.1news249
event17 outcomes

When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
vol cum
M24.7k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
17
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 17

Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit Otherwise, answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain) Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch Any type of Starlink satellite counts as long as Starlink is in the name (eg Starshield would not count despite being a close derivative) Additionally, the Starlink satellite must be technically capable of functioning (i.e. starlink mass simulators or dummy starlinks wouldn't count), though whether the satellite actually functions successfully or not once in orbit is irrelevant UTC is used Related markets: @/Nat/when-will-starship-first-deploy-a-c

elon-musk-14d9d9498c7espacerocketsspacex
marketselected outcome
By end of June 2027
rank #1
United States
97¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M523
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
timeline
opened · Aug 5, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
By end of June 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata