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event8 outcomes

What will be the net sentiment on AI benefits vs drawbacks in the latest YouGov US poll of 2026?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
vol cum
M20.9k
vol 24h
M1.3k
outcomes
8
ends
Jan 1, 2027
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This market matches AI's Societal Effects: YouGov Poll from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest. See the other manifold questions here [image]Resolution criteria Formula: (benefits outweigh) - (drawbacks outweigh), where each side = sum of "greatly" + "somewhat" Interpretation: Positive = more believe benefits outweigh drawbacks Negative = more believe drawbacks outweigh benefits Acceptable question wordings: Either the "benefits vs drawbacks" phrasing or the "positive vs negative effect on society" phrasing (see the "More Info" section on the website version of this question) are acceptable for resolution. If YouGov uses a different wording that the resolver judges comparable, that may also be used. If no comparable poll is conducted in the last 6 months of 2026, the question will be resolved as ambiguous. Eli Lifland is responsible for final judgment on resolution decisions. Buckets are left-inclusive: e.g., -10 to 0pp includes -10pp but not 0pp.

aitechnology-default2026-ai-forecasting-survey-by-ai-di
marketselected outcome
-20 to -10pp
rank #1
United States
42¢
1.2pp
24h change
vol cum
M3k
vol 24h
M550
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
timeline
opened · Jan 16, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
-20 to -10pp · prices over time
−24h
now
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