What is the current probability for "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?": Rafael Grossi 39%, Rebeca Grynspan 36%, Colombe Cahen-Salvador 26% (top 3 of 15 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 2/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/102065. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

pasttrade on Polymarket

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event15 outcomes

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

·World·ends Feb 28, 2026

vol cum

$80k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Feb 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

United Nations

marketselected outcome

Rafael Grossi

rank #1

39¢

▲ 1.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$22.3k

vol 24h

spread

0.76

ends

Feb 28, 2026

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline

opened · Dec 12, 2025closedresolved · Feb 28, 2026

Rafael Grossi · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history