As of 12:29 UTC on 8 Oct 2026, “Rebeca Grynspan” leads “Next Secretary-General of the United Nations” on Polymarket at 47% (-3pp in 24h), followed by “María Fernanda Espinosa” at 17% (+20pp in 24h) and “Rafael Grossi” at 17% (+11pp in 24h), out of 9 outcomes. The event has $3.9k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Predict.
vol cum
$218.5k
vol 24h
$3.9k
outcomes
9
ends
Jul 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
GeopoliticsPoliticsUNRewards 20, 4.5, 50
marketselected outcome
Rebeca Grynspan
rank #1
47¢
▼ 3.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$28.6k
vol 24h
$1.7k
spread
0.17
ends
Jul 1, 2027
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
