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event9 outcomes

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 19, 2029

As of 12:23 UTC on 4 Nov 2026, “Other” leads “Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?” on Polymarket at 50%, followed by “Adam Telle” at 41% (+5pp in 24h) and “Michael Obadal” at 40% (+2pp in 24h), out of 9 outcomes. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?” on Kalshi, an event with 17 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini and Manifold.

vol cum
$4.6k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
9
ends
Jan 19, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
ArmyTrumpPoliticsTrump Cabinet
marketselected outcome
Other
rank #1
United States
50¢
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
1.00
ends
Jan 19, 2029

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Sep 15, 2026opencloses · Jan 19, 2029
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