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event5 outcomes

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 18:41 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 10%, “November 30” at 7% (-1pp in 24h) and “September 30” at 0%. The event has $2.1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket.

vol cum
$639.8k
vol 24h
$2.1k
outcomes
5
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
IranYemenHouthisPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi ArabiaBab el-Mandeb
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
Yemen
10¢
▼ 0.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$244.4k
vol 24h
$2k
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen. “No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Sep 17, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31 · prices over time
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