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event2 outcomes
Anthropic lab leak by...?

vol cum
$1.6k
vol 24h
$1.6k
outcomes
2
ends
Jul 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
AITechvirusClaudehealthdiseaseAnthropicDario Amodei
marketselected outcome
June 30, 2027
rank #1
15¢
▼ 35.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$574
vol 24h
$574
spread
0.02
ends
Jul 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
timeline
opened · Sep 19, 2026opencloses · Jul 1, 2027
June 30, 2027 · prices over time
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