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marketsingle market

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

Polymarket·World
14%
35.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.1k
vol 24h
$1.1k
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 14¢
No 86¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by an EU member state requiring the Russian Ambassador to leave that state, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to the relevant state will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the expelling country and Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

WorldEuropeRussiaPoliticsGeopoliticsEuropean Union
timeline
opened · Sep 19, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
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