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Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Polymarket·Politics
United States
21%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$33k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.30
ends
Dec 31, 2026
Yes 21¢
No 79¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

IranPoliticsIsraelIsrael x IranIran CeasefireMiddle EastGeopolitics
timeline
opened · Mar 31, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? · prices over time
−24h
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volume · 24h windows
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