Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day reach $1B in domestic box office in 2026?
Yes 16% (+8pp in 24h) on Polymarket as of 15:30 UTC on 13 Nov 2026 for “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day reach $1B in domestic box office in 2026?”. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?” on Myriad, priced at 89%. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Myriad, Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses $1,000,000,000 (one billion dollars) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) cumulative figure through December 31, 2026 is available, and no later than January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the "Total Gross" figure for December 31, 2026 in the "Daily Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "To Date" figure for December 31, 2026 on the "Domestic Daily" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page. If a source lists no figure for December 31, 2026, its figure for the most recent listed date before December 31, 2026 will be used. If neither source has a final figure by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
