event9 outcomes

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

Polymarket·Economy·ends Feb 1, 2027

As of 13:56 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, “4.3-4.6%” leads “China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?” on Polymarket at 33% (+7pp in 24h), followed by “4.0-4.3%” at 22% (-4pp in 24h) and “4.9-5.2%” at 14% (+1pp in 24h), out of 9 outcomes. The event has $3.1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

vol cum

$2.8k

vol 24h

$3.1k

outcomes

ends

Feb 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

GDPChinaEconomyRecurringMacro Indicators

marketselected outcome

4.3-4.6%

rank #1

China

33¢

▲ 6.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$206

vol 24h

$206

spread

0.45

ends

Feb 1, 2027

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

timeline

opened · Oct 20, 2026opencloses · Feb 1, 2027

4.3-4.6% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history