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event5 outcomes

Fed Decision in April?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Apr 28, 2027

As of 03:01 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, “No change” leads “Fed Decision in April?” on Polymarket at 55% (+10pp in 24h), followed by “25 bps increase” at 22% (-6pp in 24h) and “25 bps decrease” at 14% (-11pp in 24h), out of 5 outcomes. The event has $6.3k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Opinion.

vol cum
$6.3k
vol 24h
$6.3k
outcomes
5
ends
Apr 28, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
FedfomcTrumpEconomyFed RatesRecurringKevin WarshGlobal Rates
marketselected outcome
No change
rank #1
United States
55¢
▲ 9.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$4.5k
vol 24h
$4.5k
spread
0.02
ends
Apr 28, 2027

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled to conclude on April 28, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

timeline
opened · Oct 28, 2026opencloses · Apr 28, 2027
No change · prices over time
−24h
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