“Keith Marshall” 68% (+11pp in 24h), “Other” 50% and “Richard Vinbrux” 19% (-29pp in 24h) on Polymarket as of 09:28 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: “Keith Marshall” leads “Waitaki Ōamaru Ward By-Election Winner” out of 3 outcomes. The event has $180 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.
A by-election for the Ōamaru Ward of the Waitaki District Council in New Zealand is currently scheduled to be held on November 27, 2026, following the death of incumbent councillor Jim Hopkins.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Ōamaru Ward by-election for the Waitaki District Council.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Waitaki District Council (https://www.waitaki.govt.nz/).
