What is the current probability for "Mexico Annual Inflation 2026"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Mexico Annual Inflation 2026": 2.50% to 2.99% 45%, 4.00% to 4.49% 43%, 5.50%+ 29% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/8/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/201624. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event8 outcomes

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

·Economy·ends Jan 8, 2027

vol cum

$42.1k

vol 24h

$23

outcomes

ends

Jan 8, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

EconomyInflationMacro IndicatorsCPIMexico

marketselected outcome

2.50% to 2.99%

rank #1

Mexico

45¢

▲ 12.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.3k

vol 24h

spread

0.76

ends

Jan 8, 2027

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario

timeline

opened · Feb 9, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027

prices over time · 2.50% to 2.99% highlighted

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history