Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
As of 18:02 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?” at 3%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Opinion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
