As of 09:22 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 42% (+1pp in 24h), “October 31” at 3% and “July 31” at 0%. The event has $172 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ” on Predict, an event with 2 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Predict, Polymarket and Kalshi.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
