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event2 outcomes

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

Predict·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 04:05 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ” on Predict are “December 31” at 29% (+1pp in 24h) and “October 31” at 2%. The event has no Predict-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?” on Polymarket, an event with 3 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum
$5.6k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities. The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.

Politics
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
United States
29¢
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$5.1k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.06
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities. The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Aug 31, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
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no volume history

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