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SPLC found guilty in 2026?

Polymarket·Politics
United States

As of 13:23 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “SPLC found guilty in 2026?” at 7% (+1pp in 24h). The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi, Predict and Limitless.

7%
▲ 0.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.5k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.10
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 7¢
No 93¢

On April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first official judgment rendered in this case that results in a judgment of guilt, or finally disposes of the charges without a judgment of guilt. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PoliticsfrauddojCourtsTrumpkashSouthern Poverty Law CenterSPLC
timeline
opened · Apr 22, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
SPLC found guilty in 2026? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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