What is the current probability for "Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026": 0.4-0.7% 26%, 0.8-1.1% 19%, <0.0% 14% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/30/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/436440. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event7 outcomes

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

Q: When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/30/2026.

Q: How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Q: Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/436440. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

·Economy·ends Jul 30, 2026

vol cum

$1.3k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jul 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

Macro IndicatorsEconomic PolicyGDPEconomy

marketselected outcome

0.4-0.7%

rank #1

European Union

26¢

▼ 2.5pp

24h change

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$173

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spread

0.45

ends

Jul 30, 2026

This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

timeline

opened · May 4, 2026opencloses · Jul 30, 2026

prices over time · 0.4-0.7% highlighted

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