As of 05:28 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 13 markets in “Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?” on Polymarket are “Uganda” at 100%, “Kenya” at 100% and “Nigeria” at 48% (+13pp in 24h). The event has $32 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.
vol cum
$66.4k
vol 24h
$32
outcomes
13
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 13
EbolaCultureWeatherPandemicsHantavirus
marketselected outcome
Uganda
rank #1 · resolved: yes
Uganda
100¢
vol cum
$2k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.00
ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
timeline
opened · May 22, 2026closedresolved · May 23, 2026
