Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
Polymarket·Politics·ends Apr 1, 2027
As of 11:33 UTC on 4 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?” on Polymarket are “March 31” at 14% (+2pp in 24h), “December 31” at 6% and “June 15” at 0%. The event has $41 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket and Opinion.
vol cum
$1.4M
vol 24h
$41
outcomes
8
ends
Apr 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
IsraelLitaniLebanonPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastIsrael x IranRewards 50, 4.5, 20
marketselected outcome
March 31
rank #1
IsraelLebanon
14¢
▲ 2.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$136
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.11
ends
Apr 1, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
