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event4 outcomes
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

vol cum
$4.9k
vol 24h
$197
outcomes
4
ends
—
outcomesclick to inspect →
SciencePandemicsScrewwormClimate & Science
marketselected outcome
October 31
rank #1
United States

66¢
▼ 4.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$521
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.32
ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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opened · Jun 10, 2026opencloses
October 31 · prices over time
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