Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
As of 10:56 UTC on 2 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 14%, “June 30” at 0% and “August 30” at 0%. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict and Manifold.
vol cum
$14.7k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
SciencePandemicsScrewwormClimate & Science
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
United States
14¢
vol cum
$5.1k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
