What is the current probability for "2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner": Esteban "Steve" Guerra 53%, Other 50%, Mauro Garza 46% (top 3 of 3 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/637161. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event3 outcomes

2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner

·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2026

vol cum

$49

vol 24h

$49

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

US ElectionElectionsUSA ElectionPolitics

marketselected outcome

Esteban "Steve" Guerra

rank #1

53¢

▲ 10.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$49

vol 24h

$49

spread

0.70

ends

Nov 3, 2026

The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.

timeline

opened · Jun 26, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2026

Esteban "Steve" Guerra · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history