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Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?
·Politics·ends Mar 31, 2027
vol cum
$1.8k
vol 24h
$1.8k
outcomes
3
ends
Mar 31, 2027
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FranceappealPoliticsnational rally
marketselected outcome
March 31
rank #1
France
20¢
▼ 23.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$442
vol 24h
$442
spread
0.02
ends
Mar 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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opened · Jul 9, 2026opencloses · Mar 31, 2027
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