event3 outcomes

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Apr 1, 2027

As of 14:09 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?” on Polymarket are “March 31” at 7%, “December 31” at 4% (-1pp in 24h) and “July 31” at 0%. The event has $1.7k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Gemini.

vol cum

$45.3k

vol 24h

$1.7k

outcomes

ends

Apr 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

FranceappealPoliticsnational rallyFrench ElectionFrench Elections

marketselected outcome

March 31

rank #1

France

7¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$7.3k

vol 24h

$201

spread

0.01

ends

Apr 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline

opened · Jul 9, 2026opencloses · Apr 1, 2027

March 31 · prices over time

−24h

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