What is the current probability for "Elon Musk # tweets July 16 - July 18, 2026?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Elon Musk # tweets July 16 - July 18, 2026?": 40-64 47%, <40 28%, 65-89 18% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/699446. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event10 outcomes

Elon Musk # tweets July 16 - July 18, 2026?

Q: When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/18/2026.

Q: How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Q: Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/699446. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

·Culture·ends Jul 18, 2026

vol cum

$43.7k

vol 24h

$43.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

CulturePoliticsTweet Markets

marketselected outcome

40-64

rank #1

47¢

▲ 3.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.6k

vol 24h

$1.6k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 18, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 16 12:00 PM ET to July 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

timeline

opened · Jul 13, 2026opencloses · Jul 18, 2026

40-64 · prices over time

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