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Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jul 1, 2027

As of 02:56 UTC on 14 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket are “Xiaomi” at 21%, “DeepSeek” at 19% and “Moonshot AI” at 17%. The event has $3.2k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict, Limitless, Manifold and Gemini.

vol cum
$126.2k
vol 24h
$3.2k
outcomes
4
ends
Jul 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
AIusUSATechChinaBig TechMilitaryGeopolitics
marketselected outcome
Xiaomi
rank #1
United StatesChina
21¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$31.9k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.01
ends
Jul 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition. Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify. An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

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opened · Jul 13, 2026opencloses · Jul 1, 2027
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