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Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

Manifold·Politics
ChinaTaiwan

As of 12:43 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?” at 31%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Limitless.

31%
vol cum
M19k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 31¢
NO 69¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline
opened · Aug 15, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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