marketsingle market
NATO article 5 before 2027?

7%
▼ 0.3pp
24h change
vol cum
$211.7k
vol 24h
$9k
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
NATOGeopoliticsForeign PolicyWorldPolitics
timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027