NATO article 5 before 2027?

Polymarket·Politics

As of 18:31 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “NATO article 5 before 2027?” at 5%. The market has $15k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

5%

▼ 0.1pp

24h change

vol cum

$298.1k

vol 24h

$15k

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 1, 2027

If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.