marketsingle market
NATO article 5 before 2027?

8%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$101.3k
vol 24h
$8.1k
spread
0.01
ends
Dec 31, 2026
Yes 8¢
No 93¢
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
PoliticsForeign PolicyWorldGeopoliticsNATO
timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026