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Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?

Manifold·Politics

Russia

As of 08:27 UTC on 10 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?” at 27%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

27%

vol cum

M9.3k

vol 24h

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2030

YES 27¢

NO 73¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline

opened · Sep 2, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2030

Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030? · prices over time

−24h

now

no price history yet

volume · 24h windows

no volume history

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