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Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?

Manifold·Politics
Russia

As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?” at 35%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

35%
vol cum
M26k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2033
YES 35¢
NO 65¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline
opened · Feb 23, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2033
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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