marketsingle market
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
Manifold·Politics
Russia
As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?” at 35%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

35%
vol cum
M26k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2033
YES 35¢
NO 65¢
No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.
timeline
opened · Feb 23, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2033