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event11 outcomes

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2028

As of 19:58 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “Ted Cruz” leads “Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?” on Polymarket at 53% (+3pp in 24h), followed by “Other” at 50% and “J.D. Vance” at 37%, out of 11 outcomes. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Gemini.

vol cum
$14.1k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
11
ends
Jan 1, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 11
PoliticsElectionsPresidentCelebrities
marketselected outcome
Ted Cruz
rank #1
United States
53¢
▲ 3.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$5.8k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.43
ends
Jan 1, 2028

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Jul 21, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028
Ted Cruz · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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