U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

·World

United StatesRussiaUkraine

11%

▲ 0.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$40.3k

vol 24h

$2.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.