event4 outcomes

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 10:18 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?” on Polymarket are “55%+” at 14%, “60%+” at 11% (+2pp in 24h) and “70%+” at 5% (-1pp in 24h). The event has $21 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?” on Kalshi, an event with 9 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$87.4k

vol 24h

$21

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

AIMetaTechAI Benchmarks

marketselected outcome

55%+

rank #1

14¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$53.2k

vol 24h

spread

0.05

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

timeline

opened · Jul 23, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

55%+ · prices over time

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