pdatanews

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

“1-3” 98% (+1pp in 24h), “4-6” 1% and “7+” 0% on Polymarket as of 01:55 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: “1-3” leads “How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?” out of 4 outcomes. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?” on Kalshi, an event with 9 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

Polymarket·Climate and Weather·ends Dec 1, 2026
event4 outcomes
vol cum
$77.8k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
4
ends
Dec 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
WeatherclimatehurricaneHurricanes
marketselected outcome
1-3
rank #1
98¢
▲ 0.7pp
24h change
vol cum
$19k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.03
ends
Dec 1, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

timeline
opened · Jul 28, 2026opencloses · Dec 1, 2026
1-3 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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