What is the current probability for "Precipitation in Seoul in August?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Precipitation in Seoul in August?": <150mm 42%, 150-200mm 42%, 200-250mm 42% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/1/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/768301. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event8 outcomes

Precipitation in Seoul in August?

Q: When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/1/2026.

Q: How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Q: Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/768301. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

·Science and Technology·ends Sep 1, 2026

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$48

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Sep 1, 2026

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ScienceWeatherPrecipitation

marketselected outcome

<150mm

rank #1

South Korea

42¢

▲ 1.5pp

24h change

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spread

0.78

ends

Aug 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in August, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of August at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

timeline

opened · Jul 29, 2026opencloses · Aug 31, 2026

<150mm · prices over time

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