As of 11:00 UTC on 8 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?” on Polymarket are “October 31” at 17% (+7pp in 24h), “August 31” at 0% and “September 30” at 0%. The event has $2.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket.
vol cum
$47.7k
vol 24h
$2.6k
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
IranUS-IrandiplomacyAmbassadorGeopolitics
marketselected outcome
October 31
rank #1
Iran
17¢
▲ 6.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$5.8k
vol 24h
$2.6k
spread
0.02
ends
Nov 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
