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US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket·Economy
United States
57%
16.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.2k
vol 24h
$302
spread
0.31
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 57¢
No 43¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.

banksEconomyFinanceBusinessbanking industry
timeline
opened · Aug 24, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
US bank failure by December 31, 2026? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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