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event4 outcomes

September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Oct 1, 2026
vol cum
$525
vol 24h
$1
outcomes
4
ends
Oct 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
ScienceWeatherGlobal Temp
marketselected outcome
2nd hottest
rank #1
67¢
9.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$1
vol 24h
$1
spread
0.29
ends
Oct 1, 2026

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record. Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

timeline
opened · Aug 28, 2026opencloses · Oct 1, 2026
2nd hottest · prices over time
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