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event5 outcomes

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Polymarket·World·ends Nov 30, 2026

As of 21:35 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?” on Polymarket are “Ra'am” at 96%, “RZP-Zehut” at 92% (-1pp in 24h) and “Reservists and New Economic Party” at 38% (-7pp in 24h). The event has $3k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion and Manifold.

vol cum
$23.8k
vol 24h
$3k
outcomes
5
ends
Nov 30, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
WorldIsraelPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionIsrael ElectionGlobal Elections
marketselected outcome
Ra'am
rank #1
Israel
96¢
▼ 0.3pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.1k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.02
ends
Nov 30, 2026

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

timeline
opened · Sep 9, 2026opencloses · Nov 30, 2026
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