“Avengers: Doomsday” 73% (-1pp in 24h) and “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” 25% (-1pp in 24h) on Predict as of 11:05 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: “Avengers: Doomsday” leads “Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?” out of 2 outcomes. The event has $6 in Predict-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?” on Polymarket, an event with 27 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Myriad, Predict and Kalshi.
Predict·Culture·ends Feb 1, 2027
event2 outcomes
vol cum
$6
vol 24h
$6
outcomes
2
ends
Feb 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
CultureMovies
marketselected outcome
Avengers: Doomsday
rank #1
73¢
▼ 1.1pp
24h change
vol cum
$6
vol 24h
$6
spread
0.04
ends
Feb 1, 2027
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie with the highest domestic 3-day opening weekend gross among all movies in 2026.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant final (i.e., not studio estimates) 3-day opening weekend figures are available, and no later than January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. For each movie, the primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on that movie's The Numbers page, accessible via https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026. If The Numbers does not have a final figure for a movie by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, that movie's "Weekend" figure for its first 3-day weekend on the "Domestic Weekend" tab of its Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page will be used.
Movies will be ranked by domestic 3-day opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie in 1st place after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve according to the figures for each movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend, and regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
A listed movie may resolve to "No" as soon as finalized figures show it cannot finish in 1st place.
If neither source has a final figure for a movie by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, that movie's figure will be the one The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the one Box Office Mojo reports at that time. A movie for which neither source reports any figure by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
